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Stocks trade mixed with tech stocks under pressure, Dow sets record high

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Stocks trade mixed with tech stocks under pressure, Dow sets record high

Shares traded blended on Monday, with expertise shares beneath extra stress as traders weighed the dangers that greater inflation throughout the pandemic restoration may weigh on high-growth names. 

The Dow added greater than 150 factors, or 0.5%, to achieve a brand new all-time excessive shortly after the opening bell. The Nasdaq dipped, reversing a few of Friday’s features. The S&P 500 was little modified.

Treasury yields have been roughly unchanged throughout the lengthy finish of the curve, with the benchmark 10-year yield hovering beneath 1.59%. West Texas Intermediate crude oil costs (CL=F) and gasoline futures (RB=F) gained after the Colonial Pipeline, a high U.S. gasoline pipeline operator, quickly minimize off its gasoline strains after a cyberattack.

Elsewhere, Ether (ETH-USD), the token constructed on the Ethereum blockchain, set an all-time excessive of greater than $4,000, constructing on a rally that is doubled costs for the second-largest cryptocurrency for the reason that starting of April. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) costs edged barely decrease, hovering beneath $58,000. 

Buyers have been targeted on the prospects of inflation throughout the financial restoration popping out of the coronavirus pandemic, with a surge in demand throughout reopenings apt to drive a surge in costs. This might in flip finally immediate the Federal Reserve to tighten insurance policies, and brought collectively, would threat weighing on the valuations of longer-duration progress shares like these of expertise firms particularly. 

Friday’s sharply disappointing jobs report no less than quickly assuaged merchants’ issues, with the miss considered as including gasoline to policymakers’ assertions {that a} full financial restoration stays a methods off. However with commodity costs advancing and quite a few main firms citing rising enter and end-user costs because of provide and demand mismatches, inflationary issues are set to stay a key theme for traders to look at within the coming months. 

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ April client value index (CPI) due out Wednesday and producer value index (PPI) on Thursday will present the newest change in costs for shoppers and suppliers, with each indexes anticipated to indicate a marked bounce over final yr’s pandemic-depressed ranges as demand resurges throughout the restoration. 

“Earlier than the pandemic, month-to-month CPI releases tended to cross with out a lot remark. Now they are going to be scoured for any proof of a post-pandemic bounce in inflation,” Neal Shearing, group chief economist for Capital Economics, wrote in a observe Monday. He stated traders ought to watch for 3 important themes in these studies and in different near-term knowledge. 

“The primary is proof of what is perhaps termed ‘opening up’ inflation. That is prone to seem in items and companies for which there’s a surge in demand as restrictions are lifted resembling accommodations, eating places, airfares and clothes,” he stated. “The extent of pent-up demand in these areas signifies that, even in the very best of occasions, provide may wrestle to maintain tempo.” 

“The second is proof of ‘opening up’ disinflation,” he added, with emphasis his. “Some items, together with IT gear and groceries, noticed sharp will increase in demand and costs as folks have been compelled to remain at residence. It follows that these parts ought to see the reverse of ‘reopening inflation.'”

“The ultimate space to look at is proof of ‘commodities-related inflation.’ Oil costs have recovered from their hunch at first of the pandemic and metallic and grain costs have surged far above pre-pandemic ranges,” Shearing stated. “These developments are already boosting inflation and can proceed to take action within the close to time period. The extent to which they exert additional upward stress on inflation past the subsequent six months or so will depend upon whether or not the rise in commodity costs is sustained.” 

1:19 p.m. ET: Nasdaq extends losses, dropping greater than 1.4% 

Here is the place markets have been buying and selling as of 1:20 p.m. ET in New York: 

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): -3.98 factors (-0.09%) to 4,228.62

  • Dow (^DJI): +220.39 factors (+0.63%) to 34,998.15

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): -201.04 factors (-1.46%) to 13,551.05

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.09 (+0.13%) to $64.99 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$5.80 (+0.32%) to $1,837.10 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +1.2 bps to yield 1.591%

11:37 a.m. ET: There are two important issues now for fairness traders, in accordance with Morgan Stanley 

In accordance with strategists from Morgan Stanley, shares are prone to begin seeing diminishing returns from optimism over the post-pandemic financial restoration. 

“Relatively than getting excited in regards to the reopening, we’re getting extra involved about (1) execution threat and (2) what’s already priced in,” Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson stated in a observe Monday. “First, on the execution entrance, there’s rising proof that provide stays an issue for a lot of firms, simply as demand is selecting up. These points have been significantly acute in sure supplies and parts, and now it’s changing into extra obvious that now we have labor shortages as effectively.” 

“On valuation, the danger is elevated too,” he added. “However, with liquidity nonetheless flush and the S&P 500 making new highs day-after-day, few appear nervous. For a lot of, the weak payroll quantity simply means extra lodging from the Fed, or no less than not a withdrawal any time quickly. From our vantage level, the fairness threat premium is underpricing these price/provide points in addition to the opposite dangers now we have mentioned over the previous month.”

10:08 a.m. ET: Optimistic market response to Friday’s jobs report got here as a result of ‘the celebration continues’ with Fed liquidity: Strategist 

Friday’s jobs report — which confirmed a disappointing 266,000 payroll features and an sudden transfer greater within the unemployment fee – resulted in a optimistic market response, with the Dow and S&P 500 setting new highs regardless of the disappointing knowledge. 

In accordance with many strategists, these strikes got here because the weak knowledge appeared to solidify the Federal Reserve’s stance to maintain financial coverage accommodative no less than within the near-term. 

“It is primarily as a result of ‘the celebration continues,’ if you’ll,” JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist for TD Ameritrade, told Yahoo Finance on Monday of the market’s reaction to the report. “And by that I imply, the Fed persevering with to maintain liquidity within the system, not speaking about elevating charges within the quick time period, as a result of there’s not the stress on wages that many had anticipated.”

“You probably did see the leisure and hospitality trade create extra jobs than really the entire report did. I might count on that to proceed,” he added. 

“We have now such variations from what the states are doing, from some which are huge open to others which are speaking about popping out of a number of the restrictions subsequent month,” Kinahan stated. “I believe it’s totally troublesome to foretell at what level these bars and eating places, significantly, and accommodations, are placing folks on the payroll.”

9:31 a.m. ET: Shares open blended 

Here is the place markets have been buying and selling after the opening bell Monday morning:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +1.24 factors (+0.3%) to 4,233.84

  • Dow (^DJI): +128.80 factors (+0.37%) to 34,906.56

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): -64.68 factors (-0.47%) to 13,683.46

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.51 (+0.79%) to $65.41 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$8.50 (+0.46%) to $1,839.80 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): -0.7 bps to yield 1.572%

7:54 a.m. ET: Marriott shares dip after posting Q1 income that missed estimates, although firm highlighted ‘leisure demand gained momentum’ 

Marriott (MAR) posted blended first-quarter outcomes Monday morning, with income down by greater than half over final yr as lodging demand remained pressured by the pandemic. 

First-quarter adjusted earnings have been 10 cents per share on income of $2.32 billion, representing a 51% drop on the highest line. Consensus analysts have been searching for $2.37 billion in gross sales, in accordance with Bloomberg knowledge. The corporate declined to supply steering because of COVID-related uncertainty. 

Income per obtainable room, a intently watched measure of effectivity within the resort trade, dropped 46.3% over final yr within the first three months of 2021, widening to greater than double the prior yr’s 22.5% decline. The drop was most pronounced within the U.S. and Canada, whereas reserving traits in China rebounded, the corporate stated. 

“Whereas restoration trajectories differ from area to area, the resiliency of demand has been most keenly demonstrated in mainland China, the place occupancy is close to the pre-pandemic stage. Occupancy reached 66% in mainland China in March, practically the identical as in March 2019, on sturdy demand from each leisure and enterprise vacationers,” Marriott CEO Tony Capuano stated in a press assertion. 

“In our largest area, the U.S. and Canada, demand elevated quickly as vaccine rollouts accelerated,” he added. “Occupancy began the yr at 33% in January and reached 49% by March. Leisure demand gained momentum, significantly in ski and seashore resort locations.” 

7:21 a.m. ET: Inventory futures level to a better open

Here is the place markets have been buying and selling forward of the opening bell:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): 4,229.75, up 4.5 factors or 0.11%

  • Dow futures (YM=F): 34,806.00, up 120 factors or 0.35%

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): 13,675.25, down 34.5 factors or 0.25%

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.37 (+0.57%) to $65.27 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$9.60 (+0.52%) to $1,840.90 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): up 0.2 bps to yield 1.581% 

People are seen on Wall St. outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Individuals are seen on Wall St. outdoors the New York Inventory Alternate (NYSE) in New York Metropolis, U.S., March 19, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Emily McCormick is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter: @emily_mcck

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