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Bank of Baroda among top 5 stock ideas for next week: Swapnil Shah – Economic Times

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Bank of Baroda among top 5 stock ideas for next week: Swapnil Shah – Economic Times

Swapnil Shah, Director of Analysis, Stoxbox has listed Financial institution of Baroda, AB Capital, Schaeffler India, Ugar Sugar and Tata Communications among the many prime 5 inventory concepts for the approaching week.

“We anticipate a protracted alternative in Financial institution of Baroda on the again of regular power within the inventory and development in sectoral value motion. The inventory has been buying and selling in duplicate to the sectoral index,” he stated in an interview with ETMarkets. Edited excerpts:

Nifty has been taking part in cover and search with its all-time peak of 18,888. Does the chart point out that the index could stay directionless within the coming week too? What are key ranges to trace?
Nifty faces an instantaneous hurdle within the zone of 18,810-18,750 forward of the all-time pivotal resistance at 18,777. The resistance zone previously marked exhaustion forward of the prior declining development. The present transfer has been arrested close to the resistance zone and fashioned a bearish harami candle sample coupled with the RSI on the each day timeframe diverging towards the value, and the midcap and smallcaps cooling off after peaking within the overbought zone. This means an intermediate prime formation. The first development stays wholesome, nevertheless, contemplating the stupendous rise from the March lows, the index is anticipated to take a breather and garner additional bullish power with essential help close to 18,450 earlier than it resumes its up transfer in the direction of 19,000 and 19,200.

Nifty IT was the worst loser within the week with midcaps main the decline. Do you count on extra promoting stress in midcap IT shares?
Following the current run in midcap IT shares, the general sector has come below stress after the US software program options firm, EPAM Methods, introduced a discount in its second quarter and full-year outlook on account of additional deterioration within the near-term demand atmosphere. With the IT sector embroiled in a storm at the moment because of the deteriorating international financial outlook, we’d advise buyers to undertake a wait-and-watch method for at the very least 1-2 quarters earlier than committing to the sector.

What’s the sort of technique that you’d advocate for Nifty Financial institution merchants within the week forward?
The weekly value motion confronted rejection from the earlier life excessive of 44,150 ranges in succession. This has resulted within the formation of a protracted higher wick and the index stays jittery forward of the US FOMC assembly scheduled within the week to return. Additionally wanting on the choices knowledge, we reckon buyers to deploy the technique of bear put unfold. The technique would come with shopping for numerous 44,100 PE and concurrently promoting 43,500 PE in equal amount. Primarily based on the technique, the utmost revenue will likely be bagged on a detailed beneath 43,500 ranges.

Suzlon Vitality ended the week round 26% increased. Do you see extra steam left?
From a 12-18 months perspective, we count on the corporate to do effectively on the again of a number of firm and industry-specific tailwinds. The discount in Suzlon’s debt, continued traction in its OMS (Operations and Upkeep Providers) enterprise and the newest cumulative orders of 1,542 MW that are the best since 2019 are a number of the huge positives for the corporate. We imagine that the corporate’s deal with increased worth and better margin enterprise together with capabilities to execute the identical ought to mirror within the monetary efficiency going ahead. Furthermore, a robust wind initiatives bid pipeline of about 10 GW in FY24 and a few particular authorities measures regarding bidding bode effectively for the corporate.

That are the 3-4 shares that might be in your radar for the week?
1) Financial institution of Baroda
We anticipate a protracted alternative in Financial institution of Baroda on the again of regular power within the inventory and development in sectoral value motion. The inventory has been buying and selling in duplicate to the sectoral index. The continuing up-leg comes on the dearth of volumes, volatility at decrease ranges and tighter compression in value. This additional confirms restricted provide and fewer likelihood of any unruly strikes contemplating the market situations. We anticipate a possible 10.5% on the upside for the goal of Rs 204 and promote cease at Rs 176.
2) AB Capital
The inventory has rallied 369% from its all-time low of Rs 37 ranges. It underwent an 89-week lengthy gestation interval which signifies modest accumulation, fuelling additional upside. The prior development has proven its skill to rise in value and signifies shopping for curiosity within the inventory. It fashioned a Darvas field on enhancing relative efficiency in comparison with Nifty50 after breaking out which is anticipated as one other base of accumulation. It has probably pierced above the Darvas ceiling and thus the brokerage reckons a purchase on the inventory. The inventory has the potential to run-up to the degrees of Rs 187 with help at Rs 161.3) Schaeffler India
The worth motion took a breather because it corrected 35% from the all-time highs after surging 556% from the all-time lows of 605. This restricted correction adopted by a sideway development signifies that the potential buyers within the inventory maintain the power and are eager on additional accumulation. This provide suction on enhancing relative efficiency in comparison with Nifty50 provides to garnering of additional power and therefore the inventory is anticipated to supply lengthy alternatives for the goal of Rs 3,620. The promote restrict might be positioned at Rs 2,987.

4) Ugar Sugar
The sample evaluation on the each day timeframe exhibits that the value motion is exhibiting volatility contraction. It has been buying and selling sideways within the final 24 weeks nevertheless with elevated swing lows. The swing lows include time and value correction which signifies professionals’ accumulating obtainable provide while the sugar inventory trades at a hair’s breadth from the all-time highs. We thus anticipate a possible upside until the degrees of Rs 130 with cease loss at Rs 109.

5) Tata Communications
The sample evaluation on the weekly chart exhibits the value motion has staged a bullish breakout from the cup and handles schematic on a buoyant quantity observe. The transfer within the earlier week got here on rising quantity development and enhancing relative efficiency in comparison with Nifty which manifests power within the development and validates the breakout additional. We, thus, anticipate the value motion to proceed within the route of the breakout. The goal on the upside comes at Rs 1,700 and cease loss at Rs 1,378.

(Disclaimer: Suggestions, ideas, views and opinions given by the consultants are their very own. These don’t symbolize the views of Financial Occasions)

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