Home News Indian Stock Market News These 10 stock are likely to give 11-47% return in mid-long term – Moneycontrol.com

These 10 stock are likely to give 11-47% return in mid-long term – Moneycontrol.com

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These 10 stock are likely to give 11-47% return in mid-long term – Moneycontrol.com

Gujarat State Petronet, Wipro, Indian Vitality Change, Jamna Auto Industries and CSB Financial institution are among the many shares that brokerages are bullish on.

Sensex

The benchmark indices ended within the inexperienced for the third straight session on March 10. The Sensex rose 254.03 factors, or 0.50 p.c, to finish at 51,279.51, whereas the Nifty added 76.40 factors, or 0.51 p.c, to shut at 15,174.80. The Nifty pharma, IT, auto and steel indices rose a p.c every, whereas some promoting was seen within the vitality names. BSE midcap and smallcap indices ended greater. The Nifty shaped a bearish hammer candle on the day by day scale, with an extended decrease shadow, which signifies declines have been being purchased. Siddhartha Khemka, Head-Retail Analysis, Motilal Oswal Monetary Companies, is of the view that whereas the long run construction of the market continues to be optimistic, markets could face some hurdles within the close to time period until the considerations over the rising bond yields, commodity costs and danger of enhance in inflation recede. “Traders would search for cues from world markets and Institutional flows which has been patchy for previous couple of days. Traders would additionally monitor India’s import/export knowledge together with financial institution’s loans and deposit progress knowledge for additional cues,” he added. Listed here are 10 shares that brokerages suppose can give as much as 47 return within the mid to long run:

Voltas | Brokerage: Dolat Capital | Rating: Buy | LTP: Rs | Target: Rs 1,260 | Upside: percent. Industry prospects are looking bright with the anticipated severity in the summer. Voltas aims to continue with its market leading share without sacrificing margins and reckons the current 5-6% price increase should cover current commodity costs. It may take a further view on pricing depending on input costs and channel response in the coming weeks. The views on restructuring, engineering business and Beko were largely in line with the narrative of the Q3 conference call. As industry focus shifts to the summer months, Voltas remains the pick for playing the AC penetration theme.

Voltas | Brokerage: Dolat Capital | Score: Purchase | LTP: Rs 1,061.50 | Goal: Rs 1,260 | Upside: 18 p.c. Trade prospects are trying shiny with the anticipated severity in the summertime. Voltas goals to proceed with its market main share with out sacrificing margins and reckons the present 5-6% worth enhance ought to cowl present commodity prices. It might take an additional view on pricing relying on enter prices and channel response within the coming weeks. The views on restructuring, engineering enterprise and Beko have been largely consistent with the narrative of the Q3 convention name. As trade focus shifts to the summer time months, Voltas stays the choose for taking part in the AC penetration theme.

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CSB Financial institution | Brokerage: Dolat Capital | Score: Purchase | LTP: Rs 261.10 | Goal: Rs 320 | Upside: 22 p.c. From strengthening its prime administration to shifting in direction of product-based lending strategy, together with stability sheet clear up and enchancment in core working metrics, the financial institution is now nicely positioned for progress together with satisfactory capital backing. Dolat Capital expects RoAs to rise to 1.3/1.4% by FY22E/23E led by enhancing PPoP profile and decline in credit score prices. CSB has a sticky depositor base and among the many lowest TD/SA charges within the trade. Regardless of lowest SA charges at 2.1%, CASA progress was above trade at 24% YoY in 3QFY21. Margins additionally benefitted from the rise in CD ratio (74% as of 3QFY21) and better gold lending yields, which elevated by ~250 bps because the finish of FY19 regardless of a declining rate of interest state of affairs. Consequently, NIM improved by over 100 bps during the last seven quarters and margins are anticipated to stabilise at 4.2-4.5%.

Jamna Auto Industries | Brokerage: Dolat Capital | Rating: Buy | LTP: Rs | Target: Rs 99 | Upside: percent. Jamna Auto Industries (JAI) has maintained its dominance with 68% market share in the domestic OEM segment. It has presence amongst most domestic CV players with a relatively high wallet share like Ashok Leyland and Bharat Benz. As company’s facilities are located close to OEM plants, the company benefits from lower logistics costs, which makes it difficult for new entrants to garner market share from OEMs. Company has tremendous potential to gain market share in the aftermarket segment led by launches of various products and expansion in distribution network. Dolat Capital forecast that the Revenue/EBITDA will grow at 48/57% CAGR over FY21-23E, led by revival in high tonnage MHCV segment with uptick in economic activities and margin expansion. The company is an ideal play on the ongoing revival in CV demand given its 68% market share in domestic OEM segment. Broking house expect a sharp revival in higher tonnage CVs and pickups in logistic activities will aid significant revenue growth.

Jamna Auto Industries | Brokerage: Dolat Capital | Score: Purchase | LTP: Rs 70 | Goal: Rs 99 | Upside: 41 p.c. Jamna Auto Industries (JAI) has maintained its dominance with a 68% market share within the home OEM phase. It has presence amongst most home CV gamers with a comparatively excessive pockets share like Ashok Leyland and Bharat Benz. As the corporate’s services are situated near OEM crops, the corporate advantages from decrease logistics prices, which makes it tough for brand spanking new entrants to garner market share from OEMs. The corporate has large potential to achieve market share within the aftermarket phase led by launches of assorted merchandise and enlargement within the distribution community. Dolat Capital forecast that the income/EBITDA will develop at 48/57% CAGR over FY21-23E, led by a revival in excessive tonnage MHCV phase with an uptick in financial actions and margin enlargement. The corporate is a perfect play on the continued revival in CV demand given its 68% market share within the home OEM phase. The broking home expects a pointy revival in greater tonnage CVs and pickups in logistic actions will assist vital income progress.

RITES | Brokerage: HDFC Securities | Rating: Buy | LTP: Rs | Target: Rs 296 | Upside: percent. Rites’ 9MFY21 results were impacted due to the pandemic and consequent disruptions. As the situation normalizes, execution will improve going forward. Rites has robust order book of Rs 6534 crore as of Dec-2020 spread across categories giving immunity from any sort of concentration risk. The order book constitutes 71% of orders from Govt. and PSU and 29% from others. Rites has been debt free company for more than a decade with RoE of over 20% and a healthy dividend yield of ~6%. With planned 34% increase in budgetary capex for rail (lasting upto 2030), Metro and Infra projects the company sees foreseeable double digit growth in FY22 over FY20. We estimate Revenues/EBITDA/PAT to grow at a CAGR of 16/20/21% respectively over FY21E-23E on the back of healthy order book and improvement in execution of orders going forward.

RITES | Brokerage: HDFC Securities | Score: Purchase | LTP: Rs 260.40 | Goal: Rs 296 | Upside: 13 p.c. Rites’ 9MFY21 outcomes have been impacted because of the pandemic and consequent disruptions. Because the state of affairs normalises, execution will enhance going ahead. RITES has a sturdy order guide of Rs 6,534 crore as of December 2020 unfold throughout classes, giving immunity from any form of focus danger. The order guide constitutes 71% of orders from Govt. and PSU and 29% from others. RITES has been a debt-free firm for greater than a decade with RoE of over 20% and a wholesome dividend yield of ~6%. With a deliberate 34% enhance in budgetary capex for rail (lasting upto 2030), metro and Infra initiatives, the corporate sees foreseeable double-digit progress in FY22 over FY20. Income/EBITDA/PAT anticipated to develop at a CAGR of 16/20/21%, respectively, over FY21E-23E on the again of a wholesome order guide and enchancment within the execution of orders.

Radico Khaitan | Promoter entity Sapphire Intrex released 15 lakh pledged shares. (Image: radicokhaitan.com)

Radico Khaitan | Brokerage: HDFC Securities | Score: Purchase | LTP: Rs 567.60 | Goal: Rs 668 | Upside: 17 p.c. Radico is nicely positioned as a lovely worth play within the total IMFL trade in India with a presence in a number of in style and semi-premium classes. Beneficial demographics for the alcohol trade within the type of the median age of 26.8 years for India and rising social acceptability of alcohol are prone to augur nicely for the trade. Fast urbanisation, elevated consumerism, and the adoption of trendier existence are driving vodka gross sales throughout smaller cities and cities (largely perceived as a cosmopolitan drink). Vodka is discovering rising acceptance amongst a big and rising variety of younger inhabitants (particularly amongst females) within the Tier II cities and cities. Radico has a 60% share within the vodka market nationally.

Indian Energy Exchange | Brokerage: Motilal Oswal | Rating: Buy | LTP: Rs | Target: Rs 355 | Upside: percent. Company launched its RTM product in Jun’20. The same has picked up well, with URS power coming on board on the sell side. RTM now accounts for ~15% of volumes. It expects RTM volumes to increase as demand recovers and more DISCOMs come on board. Currently, the buy side is slightly concentrated with the top five buyers accounting for 58% of RTM volumes. The management expects momentum for new products to continue with the launch of: a) LDCs, b) green DAM, and c) cross-border transactions. The SC hearing in Feb’21 that would have paved the way for the launch of LDCs (and electricity derivatives) has been postponed. Apart from the Electricity segment, the company has diversified into the Gas market with the launch of Indian Gas Exchange (IGX). It is also working on modalities related to the potential formation of a coal exchange.

Indian Vitality Change | Brokerage: Motilal Oswal | Score: Purchase | LTP: Rs 308.50 | Goal: Rs 355 | Upside: 15 p.c. The corporate launched its RTM product in Jun’20. It has picked up nicely, with URS Energy approaching board on the promote aspect. RTM now accounts for ~15% of volumes. It expects RTM volumes to extend as demand recovers and extra DISCOMs come on board. The purchase aspect is barely concentrated with the highest 5 consumers accounting for 58% of RTM volumes. The administration expects momentum for brand spanking new merchandise to proceed with the launch of :  a) LDCs, b) inexperienced DAM and c) cross-border transactions. The Supreme Court docket SC listening to in February that will have paved the way in which for the launch of LDCs (and electrical energy derivatives) has been delay. Aside from the facility phase, the corporate has diversified into the fuel with the launch of the Indian Fuel Change. Additionally it is engaged on modalities associated to the potential formation of a coal trade.

Endurance Technologies | Brokerage: Motilal Oswal | Rating: Buy | LTP: Rs | Target: Rs 1,750 | Upside: percent. After a slow recovery post lifting of COVID-related restrictions, we believe that the underlying demand drivers for 2Ws are still intact and expect 2W demand to return to 6-8% CAGR over the next five years. Motilal Oswal prefer company over 2W OEMs as the best way to play the 2W industry, given that the company has a strong positioning with all OEMs and is the beneficiary of the underlying trend in premiumization, scooterization, and electrification. The company has seen good traction in its nascent Passenger Vehicle (PV) segment (~5% of standalone sales in FY20) in the Aluminum Die-casting business. It is on the right side of both customers and technology. On the customer side, it is working with the fastest growing OEMs in the Indian PV industry.

Endurance Applied sciences | Brokerage: Motilal Oswal | Score: Purchase | LTP: Rs 1,401| Goal: Rs 1,750 | Upside: 25 p.c. After a sluggish restoration put up lifting of COVID-related restrictions, we consider that the underlying demand drivers for 2Ws are nonetheless intact and anticipate demand to return to 6-8% CAGR over the following 5 years. Motilal Oswal prefers the corporate over 2W OEMs as the easiest way to play the 2W trade, provided that the corporate has a powerful positioning with all OEMs and is the beneficiary of the underlying development in premiumisation, scooterisation, and electrification. The corporate has seen good traction in its nascent passenger car (PV) phase (~5% of standalone gross sales in FY20) within the aluminum die-casting enterprise. It’s on the appropriate aspect of shoppers in addition to expertise. On the shopper aspect, it’s working with the quickest rising OEMs.

Cummins | Brokerage: Sharekhan | Rating: Buy | LTP: Rs | Target: Rs 1,030 | Upside: percent. Cummins has started to witness the benefits arising from a strong revival in key segments such as power generation, construction, data centres and mining, which are expected to sustain going forward. Further, the industrial segment’s sales will be driven by demand from railways, metro and road (compressors). Improvement in core business and increased outsourcing of maintenance services by clients are expected to boost the distribution business. Further, cost initiatives undertaken by the company have been yielding benefits in terms of improved OPM. Sharekhan remain constructive on Cummins and expect a 15% net earnings CAGR over FY2021E-FY2023E, as it continues to gain from healthy demand led by a domestic economic revival.

Cummins | Brokerage: Sharekhan | Score: Purchase | LTP: Rs 879.15 | Goal: Rs 1,030 | Upside: 17 p.c. Cummins has began to witness the advantages arising from a powerful revival in key segments resembling energy era, development, knowledge centres and mining, that are anticipated to maintain going ahead. Additional, the economic phase’s gross sales can be pushed by demand from the railways, metro and street (compressors). Enchancment in core enterprise and elevated outsourcing of upkeep providers by shoppers are anticipated to spice up the distribution enterprise. Additional, value initiatives undertaken by the corporate have been yielding advantages when it comes to improved OPM. Sharekhan stays constructive on Cummins and expects a 15% web earnings CAGR over FY2021E-FY2023E, because it continues to achieve from wholesome demand led by a home financial revival.

Gujarat State Petronet | Brokerage: Motilal Oswal | Rating: Buy | LTP: Rs | Target: Rs 400 | Upside: percent. Company has a debt of Rs 11.4b at present. The management targets to become debt free in the next 3-4 quarters. It could reward shareholders by increasing its dividend payout from ~ 12-13% at present. Company’s tryst with upstream investments has not been successful, resulting in its standalone/consolidated net debt rising to a peak of Rs 234b/Rs 277b in FY17. It sold off its stake in the KG basin in FY17 to ONGC and wrote off Rs 149b. It also consolidated its stake in GUJGA with GUJS in FY18. As a result of better profitability from subsidiaries/JVs and lack of continued capex in upstream, consolidated net debt has reduced from a peak of Rs 262b in FY17 to Rs 76b in FY20. GSPC Mundra was commissioned in Feb’20 and its ramp up would also contribute to better profitability of the group. The remaining subsidiaries are smaller and would not require much capex going forward. Hence, debt-to-equity is expected to improve going forward, laying to rest concerns that investors may have on the improper use of GUJS’ cash.

Gujarat State Petronet | Brokerage: Motilal Oswal | Score: Purchase | LTP: Rs 271.25 | Goal: Rs 400 | Upside: 47 p.c. The corporate has a debt of Rs 11.4 billion at current. The administration targets to change into debt-free within the subsequent three-four quarters. It may reward shareholders by rising its dividend payout from ~ 12-13% at current. The corporate’s tryst with upstream investments has not been profitable, leading to its standalone/consolidated web debt rising to a peak of Rs 234b/Rs 277b in FY17. It offered off its stake within the KG basin in FY17 to ONGC and wrote off Rs 149b. It additionally consolidated its stake in GUJGA with GUJS in FY18. Because of higher profitability from subsidiaries/JVs and lack of continued capex in upstream, consolidated web debt has diminished from a peak of Rs 262b in FY17 to Rs 76b in FY20. GSPC Mundra was commissioned in Feb’20 and its ramp-up would additionally contribute to higher profitability. The remaining subsidiaries are smaller and wouldn’t require a lot capex. Therefore, debt-to-equity is anticipated to enhance, laying to relaxation considerations that buyers could have in regards to the improper use of GUJS’ money.

Wipro | Brokerage: Prabhudas Lilladher | Rating: Buy | LTP: Rs | Target: Rs 474 | Upside: percent. Wipro announced acquisition of Capco, a global management and technology consulting firm in BFS industry for $1.45 Bn, valued at 2x EV/Sales. The transaction is likely to close by 1QFY22. Company expects the transaction to dilute FY22E EBIT margins by 2% & will become EPS accretive by FY24. Capco must have EBIT margins of 10-11%. This acquisition will enable Wipro to become a large scale BFSI player with end-to-end consulting, technology and operations capabilities. Company's new CEO is taking right steps towards the transformation journey, however broking house believe integration benefits may take time to showcase and believe cross selling will also require very a focused & tight integration at execution levels.

Wipro | Brokerage: Prabhudas Lilladher | Score: Purchase | LTP: Rs 426.65 | Goal: Rs 474 | Upside: 11 p.c. Wipro introduced the acquisition of Capco, a worldwide administration and expertise consulting agency in BFS trade for $1.45 billion, valued at 2x EV/Gross sales. The transaction is prone to shut by 1QFY22. The corporate expects the transaction to dilute FY22E EBIT margins by 2% and can change into EPS accretive by FY24. Capco will need to have EBIT margins of 10-11%. This acquisition will allow Wipro to change into a large-scale BFSI participant with end-to-end consulting, expertise and operations capabilities. The corporate’s new CEO is taking proper steps in direction of the transformation journey, nonetheless, the broking home believes that integration advantages could take time to showcase and believes cross-selling will even require very a targeted and tight integration at execution ranges.

Rakesh Patil

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